Tracking Poll Update: Obama +6
by Kevin Van Dyke, Editor
closeAuthor: Kevin Van Dyke, Editor
Name: Kevin Van Dyke
Email: kevin@demockracy.com
Site: http://demockracy.com
About: A self-acclaimed politics and policy wonk, Kevin works as a health services researcher for a major association. In this capacity, his main areas of expertise are health care governance, patient safety, and quality of care. Kevin also does a variety of political volunteering for local and national candidates and other civic activities. National level volunteer experience includes the Kerry-Edwards campaign in his native Ohio in 2004 and the Obama-Biden campaign in six states, including his current home state of Illinois. He enjoys spending time with friends, family, fiancé Jessica, and cat Shelby. Kevin received his Bachelor of Arts in Diplomacy & Foreign Affairs from Miami University in Oxford, Ohio and his Master of Public Policy from The University of Chicago.See Authors Posts (179)
October 19, 2008
With only 16 days left until Election Day, Senator Obama has a 6 percentage point lead over Senator McCain in the composite of today’s tracking polls. If you include only the original four trackers (Gallup, Rasmussen, Research 2000, and Hotline), Obama’s lead is 6.7 percentage points. Overall, the race seems to be relatively stable. Today’s numbers are important in that they are the first to include only interviews after the last presidential debate.
| Date
|
Gallup
|
Rasmussen
|
Hotline
|
Research 2000
|
Zogby
|
IBD/TIPP
|
6-Poll Adjusted Average
|
| 10/13
|
10
|
5
|
6
|
12
|
4
|
2
|
6.7
|
| 10/14
|
9
|
5
|
6
|
11
|
6
|
3
|
6.7
|
| 10/15
|
7
|
5
|
8
|
11
|
4
|
3
|
6.3
|
| 10/16
|
6
|
4
|
8
|
11
|
5
|
4
|
6.1
|
| 10/17
|
6
|
4
|
10
|
10
|
5
|
5
|
6.4
|
| 10/18
|
4
|
5
|
7
|
7
|
4
|
7
|
5.4
|
| 10/19
|
7
|
6
|
7
|
7
|
3
|
5
|
6.0
|
See long-term trends and more on methodology here.
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