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Tracking Poll Update: 10 Days To Go

by Kevin Van Dyke
October 25, 2008

With 10 days to go until Election Day, Senator Obama maintains a significant advantage in the polls. Not only is Senator McCain not gaining ground, but he’s actually in worse shape today than he was even a few days ago. McCain must gain on average .75 points a day to have any shot. In comparison, Obama gained about .15 points a day from mid-September to mid-October during his rise in the polls. In addition, voters are much more committed than they were even a few weeks ago. Rasmussen’s tracker shows that Obama has “solid support” from 48% of the electorate compared to McCain’s 40%. Three weeks ago, Obama had roughly the same bottom line lead in Rasmussen’s tracker, but only had the solid support of 43% of the electorate. In other words, McCain now faces a scenario where he must win the support of virtually all truly undecided voters to have any shot. Good luck.

Date Gallup Rasmussen Hotline Research 2000  Zogby IBD/TIPP ABC 7-Poll Adjusted Average
10/20 9 4 5 8 6 6 9 6.7
10/21 10 4 6 8 8 6 9 7.2
10/22 8 6 5 10 10 4
11
7.6
10/23 6 7 5 10 12 1 11 7.3
10/24 7 7 7 12 10 4 9 7.8
10/25 8 8 7 12 9 4 9 8.1

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One Response to “Tracking Poll Update: 10 Days To Go”

  1. Tracking Poll Update: 9 Days To Go | Demockracy on October 26th, 2008 6:28 pm

    [...] McCain is a victory for Obama. As we mentioned yesterday, McCain must gain, on average, around .75 percentage points a day in order to draw even. Here is a look at today’s numbers and recent [...]

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